Prediction Market Forecasts
World Forecasts and Future Events
Follow world events through market-based probabilities, current odds, sentiment and recent forecast changes.
US-Iran Ceasefire Set to Hold Through May 22
The ceasefire between the United States and Iran is expected to remain in place through May 22, easing immediate fears of direct military escalation.
US-Iran Ceasefire Expected to Hold Through May 24
The ceasefire between the United States and Iran is expected to remain intact through May 24, with no imminent signs of a direct U.S. strike on Iranian territory.
U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Expected to Hold Through May 23
The U.S.-Iran ceasefire is set to remain in place through May 23, with no indication of imminent U.S. kinetic action on Iranian territory.
Iran Set to Dominate Headlines This Week
Iran is expected to remain a central focus of international news coverage as geopolitical tensions and diplomatic developments draw renewed attention.
Khamenei Expected to Maintain Steady X Posting Pace
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is expected to publish between 15 and 19 posts on X during the week ending May 26, 2026.
North Korea Expected to Keep May Missile Activity Limited
North Korea is expected to carry out fewer than two missile test days in May 2026 as Pyongyang continues to signal military readiness without sustained launch activity.
Wuhan Forecast: High of 27°C Expected on June 7, 2026
Meteorologists predict the highest temperature in Wuhan on June 7, 2026, to reach 27°C, based on historical climate patterns and seasonal trends.
São Paulo Forecast: Temperatures to Hit 23°C on June 6
Meteorological data indicates São Paulo will experience its highest temperature of 23°C on June 6, 2026.
Wellington Weather Forecast: High of 14°C Expected on June 7, 2026
Meteorologists predict a mild and consistent day for Wellington, with a peak temperature of 14°C expected on June 7, 2026.
U.S. and Cuba Set for Diplomatic Talks
Representatives from the United States and Cuba are expected to hold an in-person diplomatic meeting focused on bilateral relations before the end of May.
Strait of Hormuz Traffic Set to Stay Severely Constrained
Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz is expected to remain at unusually low levels by May 31, with daily vessel transits likely limited to between zero and 10 on a seven-day average basis.
Beijing Forecast: Record-Breaking Heat Expected on June 6
Meteorologists predict a significant temperature spike in Beijing, with projections indicating the highest reading will exceed 22°C on June 6, 2026.
Ankara Set for a Sunny 27°C on June 6, 2026
Meteorologists forecast a warm and pleasant day in the Turkish capital, with temperatures expected to peak at 27°C.
Diplomatic Breakthrough Expected Between Moscow and Kyiv by Year's End
High-level officials from Russia and Ukraine are poised to meet by December 31, 2026, signaling a potential end to years of hostilities.
Hong Kong to Face Temperatures of 32°C on June 7, 2026
Meteorological authorities predict Hong Kong will experience its highest temperature of 32°C on June 7, 2026, as the Hong Kong Observatory prepares to release official climate data.
Iran Announces Comprehensive Closure of National Airspace
Iranian authorities have declared a complete suspension of commercial flights across the nation, citing critical security concerns and affecting major hubs including Tehran and Mashhad.
Iran Announces Comprehensive Closure of National Airspace
Iranian authorities have declared a major suspension of commercial flights across the country's airspace, citing escalating regional security concerns and internal strategic assessments.
Iran Announces Comprehensive Closure of National Airspace
Iranian authorities have initiated a major closure of the country's airspace, suspending commercial flights across major regions effective immediately.
London Set to Break June Heat Records as Temperatures Soar to 13°C
Forecasters predict a balmy 13°C for London on June 6, marking a significant shift in early summer weather patterns.
Moscow Braces for Mild Weather on June 6, 2026
Forecasters predict a peak temperature of 24°C in Moscow on June 6, 2026, based on recent climatic trends.
May Poised to Close Without Major Geopolitical Shock
May is on track to end without several of the most disruptive global scenarios materializing, including major military escalations, an Iran leadership rupture or an extreme oil-price spike.
Khamenei Expected to Keep Low Profile on X
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is expected to maintain limited activity on X during the week from May 26 to June 2, 2026.
Hong Kong Braces for High Heat as Forecast Peaks at 34°C
Hong Kong is expected to experience its hottest day of the year on June 5, with the Hong Kong Observatory predicting a maximum temperature of 34°C.
Russia Poised to Take Full Control of Hryshyne
Russian forces are expected to capture all of Hryshyne in Donetsk Oblast by the end of June, marking another territorial gain in eastern Ukraine.