Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Current prediction market odds for Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election. Track market probability, sentiment, key developments and forecast changes. Current probability: 97%.
Current Odds
Current prediction market probability
Why the Odds Changed
VOX is expected to finish the 2026 Andalusia regional election with 13 to 15 seats in the parliament.
Recent Developments
VOX is on track to emerge from the 2026 Andalusia regional election with a parliamentary bloc of 13 to 15 seats, cementing its role as one of the region’s key forces. The result would mark a continued foothold for the party in Spain’s most populous autonomous community, where competition for conservative and protest votes is likely to remain intense ahead of the May 17 vote.
The anticipated seat range would leave VOX well positioned to influence the balance of power in the 109-member Parliament of Andalusia, even if it falls short of challenging for government on its own. As campaigning intensifies, the party is expected to focus on immigration, regional identity, and opposition to the governing agenda, issues that have helped sustain its support across the region.
Market Sentiment
A 97% probability means traders currently view this outcome as highly likely. AlphaNews monitors this forecast as the market reacts to new information.
Key Risks
Prediction market probabilities can change quickly when new evidence, liquidity, deadlines or market rules shift. Treat this page as a live forecast, not a guarantee.
