Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Current prediction market odds for Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election. Track market probability, sentiment, key developments and forecast changes. Current probability: 100%.
Current Odds
Current prediction market probability
Why the Odds Changed
Daniel Ennis is expected to secure the Dublin Central Dáil seat in the 2026 by-election following Paschal Donohoe’s resignation.
Recent Developments
Daniel Ennis is on course to win the forthcoming Dublin Central by-election, a contest expected in 2026 to fill the Dáil seat vacated by former minister Paschal Donohoe. The result would mark a significant moment in one of Ireland’s most closely watched urban constituencies, where housing, public services and cost-of-living pressures are expected to dominate the campaign.
The by-election will determine who represents Dublin Central in Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, for the remainder of the term. Ennis’s expected victory would reshape the constituency’s political balance after Donohoe’s departure, drawing national attention to voter sentiment in the capital ahead of the next general election cycle.
Market Sentiment
A 100% probability means traders currently view this outcome as highly likely. AlphaNews monitors this forecast as the market reacts to new information.
Key Risks
Prediction market probabilities can change quickly when new evidence, liquidity, deadlines or market rules shift. Treat this page as a live forecast, not a guarantee.
