Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Current prediction market odds for Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Track market probability, sentiment, key developments and forecast changes. Current probability: 100%.
Current Odds
Current prediction market probability
Why the Odds Changed
Andy Burnham is set to contest the 2026 Makerfield by-election, with strong expectations of victory following the resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
Recent Developments
Andy Burnham is poised to secure a significant political victory in the upcoming Makerfield by-election, scheduled for June 18, 2026. The constituency, currently represented by Josh Simons, will see a major shift as Burnham steps into the race, capitalizing on the vacancy left by Simons's resignation. The high-profile contest is already drawing considerable attention, with Burnham's candidacy signaling a potential change in the political landscape of the region.
Burnham's entry into the race has been widely anticipated, and his presence is expected to mobilize voters and energize the local community. As the date approaches, all eyes will be on the campaign trail, with Burnham's strategy focusing on addressing key local issues and leveraging his established political profile. The outcome of this by-election is likely to have far-reaching implications for the area, marking a pivotal moment in the constituency's political future.
Market Sentiment
A 100% probability means traders currently view this outcome as highly likely. AlphaNews monitors this forecast as the market reacts to new information.
Key Risks
Prediction market probabilities can change quickly when new evidence, liquidity, deadlines or market rules shift. Treat this page as a live forecast, not a guarantee.




