Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Current prediction market odds for Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30. Track market probability, sentiment, key developments and forecast changes. Current probability: 82%.
Current Odds
Current prediction market probability
Why the Odds Changed
Steve Bannon’s 2022 contempt of Congress conviction is expected to be formally nullified by the end of June following the Supreme Court’s rejection of a key appellate ruling.
Recent Developments
Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction for contempt of Congress is poised to be overturned by June 30 after the Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld the case. The decision has cleared the way for lower-court action that could formally nullify the conviction tied to Bannon’s refusal to comply with a subpoena from the House committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol.
The expected reversal would mark a significant legal victory for the former Trump White House strategist, who was convicted on two misdemeanor counts in 2022. Courts are now expected to determine the final disposition of the case in line with the Supreme Court’s intervention, with official action anticipated before the end of the month.
The case has been closely watched as part of broader legal battles over congressional subpoena authority and executive privilege claims raised by former Trump advisers. A formal reversal would eliminate the conviction itself, rather than merely reopening procedural questions around the earlier appeals process.
Market Sentiment
A 82% probability means traders currently view this outcome as more likely than not. AlphaNews monitors this forecast as the market reacts to new information.
Key Risks
Prediction market probabilities can change quickly when new evidence, liquidity, deadlines or market rules shift. Treat this page as a live forecast, not a guarantee.
