Will the fight be won by submission?
Current prediction market odds for Will the fight be won by submission. Track market probability, sentiment, key developments and forecast changes. Current probability: 100%.
Current Odds
Current prediction market probability
Why the Odds Changed
Rei Tsuruya and Luis Gurule are expected to produce a grappling-heavy fight at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, with a submission finish firmly in view.
Recent Developments
Rei Tsuruya’s flyweight matchup with Luis Gurule at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo is shaping up to end on the mat, with a submission finish emerging as the defining expectation for the May 30 card.
Tsuruya, known for his grappling pressure and ability to create scrambles, is likely to test Gurule early with takedown attempts and positional control. Gurule’s defensive responses could determine how long the contest lasts, but the bout is widely viewed as one that will be decided by a tapout, verbal submission or referee intervention during a submission hold.
The result will be confirmed through the UFC’s official post-fight ruling, with the contest expected to add another ground-focused finish to the Fight Night lineup.
Market Sentiment
A 100% probability means traders currently view this outcome as highly likely. AlphaNews monitors this forecast as the market reacts to new information.
Key Risks
Prediction market probabilities can change quickly when new evidence, liquidity, deadlines or market rules shift. Treat this page as a live forecast, not a guarantee.
