Democrats Set to Hold NY-25

Democrats are expected to secure New York’s 25th Congressional District in the 2026 midterm elections, keeping control of a seat that has become increasingly favorable to the party in recent cycles. The Rochester-area district, which includes a mix of urban, suburban and working-class communities, is likely to remain one of the Democrats’ strongest congressional opportunities in the state.

The race is shaping up to reflect broader national trends that could benefit Democrats in the midterms, particularly in districts where turnout in city neighborhoods and suburban precincts has given the party an edge. With candidates still preparing for the campaign ahead, NY-25 is widely seen as a seat Democrats are well positioned to win as voters head to the polls in November 2026.