Republicans Favored to Keep SC-04 Seat

Republicans are expected to retain the South Carolina 4th Congressional District in the 2026 midterm elections, preserving a seat that has long been one of the party’s stronger positions in the state. The district’s conservative electorate and recent voting history leave Democrats with a steep challenge as the campaign cycle begins to take shape.

While candidate recruitment and national political conditions could still influence the race, the GOP is likely to enter the contest with a clear structural advantage. Unless there is an unusually strong Democratic surge or a major shift in the district’s political landscape, SC-04 is expected to remain in Republican control when the votes are counted in November 2026.