# AlphaNews

> Track elections, AI, crypto, business and geopolitical forecasts using real-time prediction market data. See what the market thinks happens next.

AlphaNews publishes prediction market intelligence pages for future events, with market probabilities, readable context, canonical URLs, metadata and structured data available without client-side JavaScript.

## Crawlable Entry Points

- Home: https://alphanews.top/
- World Cup: https://alphanews.top/world-cup
- Category: https://alphanews.top/politics
- Category: https://alphanews.top/ai
- Category: https://alphanews.top/crypto
- Category: https://alphanews.top/business
- Category: https://alphanews.top/sports
- Category: https://alphanews.top/world
- Category: https://alphanews.top/science
- Category: https://alphanews.top/climate
- Category: https://alphanews.top/entertainment
- Category: https://alphanews.top/world-cup-events
- Category: https://alphanews.top/forecasts
- Highest Probability Events: https://alphanews.top/highest-probability-events
- Biggest Odds Movers: https://alphanews.top/biggest-odds-movers
- Top Rising Markets: https://alphanews.top/top-rising-markets
- New Prediction Markets: https://alphanews.top/new-markets
- Sitemap: https://alphanews.top/sitemap.xml
- RSS feed: https://alphanews.top/feed.xml

## Headline Forecasts

- [Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world/will-the-iran-ceasefire-continue-through-may-22-6) - 100% likely
- [US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world/us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by-december-31-2026-2926) - 100% likely
- [Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-796) - 85% likely
- [Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/will-bitcoin-dip-to-55-000-by-december-31-2026-17175) - 82% likely
- [Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/business/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-july-2026-meeting-221) - 94% likely
- [Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/business/will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026-16982) - 85% likely
- [Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31-687) - 81% likely
- [SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/ai/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-2t-8056) - 100% likely
- [US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world/us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027-678) - 92% likely
- [MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-december-31-2026-173) - 100% likely

## Latest Forecasts

- [Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/will-hibachi-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027-23902) - Hibachi is reportedly finalizing plans to launch a governance token, expected to be actively tradable by the end of 2027.
- [Will Sadio Mané score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world-cup-events/will-sadio-mane-score-a-goal-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-23874) - Veteran forward Sadio Mané is poised to be a key offensive threat for Senegal, with expectations high that he will find the back of the net during the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- [Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-july-31-23775) - Iranian authorities have implemented a major suspension of commercial flights across the country, affecting key international airports including Imam Khomeini and Mehrabad.
- [Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1480+? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/ai/will-next-claude-mythos-debut-on-the-text-arena-leaderboard-at-1480-23643) - Anthropic's latest 'Mythos' class model has made a significant impact on the AI landscape by securing a debut score exceeding 1480 on the competitive Text Arena Leaderboard.
- [Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/base-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch-23496) - Coinbase's layer-2 network Base successfully launched its governance token, which quickly achieved a fully diluted valuation of over $1 billion within 24 hours of trading.
- [Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/ai/next-mythos-class-model-released-by-september-30-2026-23495) - Anthropic has officially unveiled the latest addition to its Mythos-class lineup, making the advanced model publicly accessible just months after the debut of Claude Fable 5.
- [Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/will-base-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027-23389) - Base is reportedly finalizing plans to launch its own native token by December 31, 2027, marking a significant evolution in its ecosystem.
- [Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/base-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch-23269) - Base's newly launched governance token has achieved a fully diluted valuation of over $500 million within 24 hours of its public debut, signaling robust institutional and retail demand.
- [Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-jorginho-mello-win-the-governor-of-santa-catarina-election-23024) - With the October election approaching, Jorginho Mello has established a commanding lead, positioning himself as the likely next Governor of Santa Catarina.
- [Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-the-republican-party-win-the-md-01-house-seat-22596) - Political analysts and current polling trends strongly suggest that the Republican Party will secure victory in the MD-01 House seat during the 2026 midterm elections.
- [Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/sports/will-the-los-angeles-rams-make-the-2027-nfl-playoffs-22376) - With a robust roster and strategic cap management, the Los Angeles Rams are emerging as favorites to secure a spot in the 2027 NFL playoffs.
- [Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/will-hyperliquid-dip-to-50-by-december-31-2026-22221) - Market indicators suggest increasing bearish momentum for Hyperliquid, with projections indicating the token could fall to the $50 level before the conclusion of 2026.
- [Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-az-06-house-seat-22184) - Political analysts forecast a victory for the Democratic Party in the Arizona 6th Congressional District race during the upcoming 2026 midterm elections.
- [Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-stefany-shaheen-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-nh-01-22143) - Stefany Shaheen is widely expected to clinch the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District as the September primary approaches.
- [Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/sports/will-manel-kape-become-ufc-champion-in-2026-21924) - Rising star Manel Kape is widely expected to capture a UFC title in 2026, solidifying his status as the dominant force in the flyweight division.
- [Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-mitch-mcconnell-vote-to-confirm-todd-blanche-as-attorney-general-21842) - Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell is expected to vote in favor of confirming Todd Blanche as the next Attorney General, ensuring a smooth path for the nominee.
- [Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-nm-02-house-seat-21794) - Democrats are heavily favored to reclaim the House seat in New Mexico’s 2nd District as the 2026 midterm elections approach.
- [Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/will-cinde-warmington-win-the-2026-new-hampshire-governor-democratic-primary-election-21792) - Cinde Warmington is widely expected to secure the Democratic nomination for Governor of New Hampshire following a campaign focused on healthcare reform and reproductive rights.
- [LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/la-mayoral-election-spencer-pratt-receives-over-under-25-21689) - Reality television star Spencer Pratt has captured a significant share of the electorate in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, exceeding expectations with more than 25% of the popular vote.
- [Will Hakan Çalhanoğlu score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world-cup-events/will-hakan-calhanoglu-score-a-goal-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-21667) - Veteran midfielder Hakan Çalhanoğlu is poised to play a pivotal role in Turkey's offensive lineup as the national team prepares for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- [Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world-cup-events/will-christian-pulisic-score-a-goal-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-21666) - As the United States prepares to co-host the 2026 FIFA World Cup, captain Christian Pulisic is widely expected to play a pivotal role and find the back of the net during the tournament.
- [SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/politics/scotus-bars-counting-mail-ballots-after-election-day-21634) - The U.S. Supreme Court has decided in Watson v. Republican National Committee that federal election statutes preempt state laws allowing for the counting of mail-in ballots received after Election Day.
- [Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-august-31-21619) - Iranian authorities have initiated a major shutdown of commercial aviation across the nation, affecting key international airports and disrupting regional travel routes.
- [Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/crypto/will-kraken-s-valuation-hit-low-10b-by-december-31-21567) - Market indicators suggest Kraken is on track to see its valuation climb back to the $10 billion mark by December 31, signaling renewed investor confidence in the cryptocurrency exchange.
- [Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? Prediction Market Odds](https://alphanews.top/world/will-iran-close-its-airspace-by-december-31-21551) - Iranian aviation authorities are expected to initiate a comprehensive shutdown of the country's airspace by the end of the year, significantly impacting international travel routes.