Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 24?
Current prediction market odds for Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 24. Track market probability, sentiment, key developments and forecast changes. Current probability: 95%.
Current Odds
Current prediction market probability
Why the Odds Changed
Shanghai is expected to register a minimum temperature of 22°C at Pudong International Airport on May 24.
Recent Developments
Shanghai is poised to see a warm overnight low of 22°C on May 24, with conditions at Pudong International Airport expected to remain mild through the early morning hours. The reading would mark a notably warm start to the day for late May, when the city typically begins to transition into more consistently summerlike weather.
Weather conditions are expected to stay relatively steady across the metropolitan area, with no sharp drop in temperature likely before dawn. A low of 22°C would fit a pattern of humid, seasonally warm nights in eastern China, where coastal air and lingering heat often keep nighttime temperatures elevated this time of year.
Market Sentiment
A 95% probability means traders currently view this outcome as highly likely. AlphaNews monitors this forecast as the market reacts to new information.
Key Risks
Prediction market probabilities can change quickly when new evidence, liquidity, deadlines or market rules shift. Treat this page as a live forecast, not a guarantee.
