Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31?
Current prediction market odds for Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31. Track market probability, sentiment, key developments and forecast changes. Current probability: 100%.
Current Odds
Current prediction market probability
Why the Odds Changed
Wellington is expected to see a mild late-autumn day on May 31, with the high at the airport reaching 18°C.
Recent Developments
Wellington is set for a mild late-autumn day on May 31, with the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport expected to reach 18°C. Conditions are likely to be relatively moderate for the season, offering a warmer end to May than many typical winter-transition days in the capital.
The reading will be closely watched at the airport weather station, a key reference point for the city’s official daily temperature records. A high of 18°C would reflect a settled and comparatively comfortable day before June brings cooler winter conditions across the region.
Market Sentiment
A 100% probability means traders currently view this outcome as highly likely. AlphaNews monitors this forecast as the market reacts to new information.
Key Risks
Prediction market probabilities can change quickly when new evidence, liquidity, deadlines or market rules shift. Treat this page as a live forecast, not a guarantee.

